After a long winter for everyone in the East and Midwest this year, it appears to be coming to an end after a monster storm this Tuesday and Wednesday exits. Speaking of the storm, it looks to bring nuisance type snow to the Mid-Atlantic and New England. As little as flurries for western Ct and a few inches for eastern CT is possible overnight Tuesday into early Wednesday morning. This is a powerhouse storm that will bomb out well south east of the 40N/70W “benchmark” as seen below around 980mb and deepening.
However, if you look at the lifting factors that will cause heavy precip from this storm, they are well off the coast on the gfs seen below on the 700mb omega chart.
What this means is that the heaviest and/or all of the precip stays mostly offshore giving SE New England a moderate to perhaps heavy snowfall around Nantucket. That being said, winds will be howling along the New England coast Wednesday morning.
The models appear to have a good handle on the energies associated with this storm so I don’t expect a huge shift west with the storm track. The chances of that are possible but well under 10% at this point. After the storm and looking further ahead it appears we are headed for a spring like warm up as temps reach the 40′s and 50′s in the northeast and look to stay that way and rise into April! Warm times ahead!